Saturday, January 16, 2010

ARG: Brown Leads

American Research Group comes out with some positive numbers for Scott Brown, showing him leading Democrat Martha Coakley 48-45. The crosstabs show some interesting results. This poll's sample has Democrats significantly outnumber independents (44-36), numbers that do not match the general partisan registration in Massachusetts (where independents are a majority of voters) but could be understandable when one takes into consideration the fact that this is a special election. These numbers also show Brown winning among voters 18-49 (52-42). Has Brown become the youth candidate?