Sunday, September 5, 2010

Options?

This Rasmussen poll of the West Virginia Senate race from last week shows one race where Tea Partiers and the right as a whole might find that a little attention gets big results.

In the first Rasmussen Reports post-primary survey of West Virginia’s U.S. Senate race, Democratic Governor Joe Manchin attracts 48% of the vote while Republican businessman John Raese earns 42%.

How did the race stand a few weeks ago? 51 Manchin/ 35 Raese. Raese is gaining on Manchin.

While West Virginia hasn't elected a Republican to the Senate in over 50 years, it is a state that has begun to move toward the Republicans. Even though Manchin is trying to portray himself as a moderate or even conservative Democrat, Republicans could successfully tie him to the national Democratic party (including his backing of Obamacare).

In short, this race could be an uphill battle, but it is definitely winnable for the GOP. Raese is very wealthy, so he might not need that much help in fund-raising, but I bet he could make use of more supporters on the ground and online. After all, West Virginia could be a place where the GOP could get a Reagan-endorsed Republican in the US Senate (yes, Raese was endorsed by the Gipper when he ran for the Senate in 1984).

11 comments:

  1. Manchin spoke at my medical school graduation. He is tone-deaf, and utterly self-absorbed. Not much money seems to be spent in West Virginia, and if some WAS, and spent a little time on Manchin, he should be easily defeatable.

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  2. The Tea Party could make the entire national effort so far pay off in West Virginia.

    The Senate is in the balance and this ONE seat could do it.

    I am retired and will be calling Raese HQs on Tuesday morning.

    I will be in West Virginia by this time next weekend and i will stay there till the day after election day.

    I URGE other Americans to do the same.

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  3. Curb your enthusiasm. There is no doubt that Manchin will win this race. The real question is how slimm the victory will be and will Raese do enough damage to Manchin to make a Capito victory likely in 2012.

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  4. Manchin is for Obamacare and card check. Manchin said he believes Climate Change is happening. In WV coal country THAT could be a concern. And this is a special election for Byrd's seat. This new senator would be seated during THE LAME DUCK SESSION which could stop the dems from even more damaging policy and spending. WV voted for Bush twice and for McCain. And WV has lost many coal jobs thanks to the Obama's EPA.

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  5. Good idea. Move everyone from Delaware to West Virginia where they could do some good.

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  6. And despite all that, Manchin was reelected Governor in 2008 by a whopping 70 percent. Manchin is still a popular governor and much of that popularity will translate into votes come November. Raese, on the other hand, has never won a single election.

    Heck, the state keeps reelecting Jay Rockefeller even though he has been completely out of step with West Virginia since he first running for office.

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  7. I gave $50 to Scott Brown in Massachusetts when the special election looked close enough that he might win. However, my main goal was to force Democrats to defend what should have been a safe seat. If John Raese can stay close until election day, he helps keep Democrats off balance. Might even get an upset victory for the Republicans.

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  8. Since Manchin is polling under 50% with his tremendous name recognition as a standing governor, he is VERY vulnerable in this wave election. Plus, state politics are not the same as national politics, so his favorability ratings don't mean as much when he can be tied to the wagon of Pelosi, Reid and Obama in a state that voted 56% for McCain. I think this seat is more likely to go GOP than CT or CA, especially if we can get the Tea Party behind Raese.

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  9. state politics are not the same as national politics

    Exactly. It's not unheard of for a state to keep a governor they like in that position while sending someone else to the Senate and here one can see plenty of reasons for them to do both.

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  10. Manchin will stay in the Governor's mansion. He's so pro Obama, he will never win this election. So we got rid of Mollohan, and Rockefeller claims he will retire, and if he doesn't he will be voted out too, over his pro radical abortion votes and radical blind support of Obama. Raese wins this one.

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  11. John Raese can never win in West Virginia. Just like I told you guys Scott Brown could never win Teddy's seat.

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