Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Is One Out of Four Good Enough?

The key number for the recent CBO report on S. 744 is not $197 billion or $700 billion but 25%: that's how effective the CBO predicts the Gang of Eight bill will be in blocking future illegal immigration:
However, other aspects of the bill would probably increase the number of unauthorized residents—in particular, people overstaying their visas issued under the new programs for temporary workers. CBO estimates that, under the bill, the net annual flow of unauthorized residents would decrease by about 25 percent relative to what would occur under current law...
So the guest-worker programs could, as some have suggested, increase the number of illegal immigrants.

And I thought Senator Schumer said that the Gang of Eight bill would end illegal immigration.

See also Stephen Dinan's write-up about the CBO report here.

(Look out for more on the CBO report in tomorrow morning's A Certain Immigration Update.)