For Mr. Santorum to have a shot at winning the nomination, he will need to poll at least 5 or 10 points better across the board than he has so far — and to do so consistently enough that those polls translate into votes and then delegates.
But polls usually do not shift without a reason. They change on the basis of news, and Mr. Santorum’s campaign has had trouble driving any of it.
Sunday, March 18, 2012
Nate Silver suggests that Santorum should focus less on the "small ball" of accumulating pockets of delegates and more "game-changing" moves: