Friday, June 4, 2010

Hoosier Bellwether?

Choosing bellwethers for any election can be a daunting prospect, since any race comes down to a number of individual factors. But Indiana may play a revealing role in 2010. Howey Politics Indiana notes the following:
Howey Politics Indiana is forecasting that three House seats — the 2nd, 8th, and 9th — and possibly the Senate race will be in play in October and November. All of these seats are held by Democrats and in a worse case scenario for that party, if the GOP can stage a sweep, it would be a reversal from 2006 when the three House seats flipped the other way.
This reversal may do more than gratify a political observer's sense of aesthetic balance. RealClearPolitics rates the 8th as Leans GOP, the 9th as a Tossup, and the 2nd as Leans Democrat. If the GOP can flip the 2nd on election night, it could be a very grim night for Democrats indeed.

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